Chalk Points are quick-hitting previews designed for on-the-go fans and recreational bettors looking for fundamental information.
Thursday morning line at Westgate SuperBook: New England -8, 50.5. TV: CBS
As of late Wednesday night, 71 percent of money bet at William Hill's Nevada sportsbook was on the Patriots.
Westgate SuperBook assistant manager Ed Salmons reported heavy public action on the Patriots on Wednesday, both on the side and teasers. New England opened as a 7.5-point favorite at most books. The line quickly was bet up to minus-8. Las Vegas sportsbook operator CG Technology has moved up to New England minus-8 (-115) as of Thursday morning. The Dolphins are 2-0 straight up and ATS under interim coach Dan Campbell, with wins over the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans. The Titans and Texans are a combined 3-10. New England has won 12 of the past 14 meetings with the Dolphins, but Miami did beat the Patriots 33-20 last September.
The Patriots are banged-up and dressed just 18 offensive players in last week's win over the Jets. Both Patriots-Dolphins games last season went over the total, averaging 53.5 points per game. As of late Wednesday night, 91 percent of money bet at William Hill was on over 51. The Patriots have scored at least 30 points in five straight games. After a blustery day in Foxborough, winds are expected to calm slightly, to around 15 mph. Temperatures will dip into the 50s. No precipitation is expected during the game. The Patriots are 77-60-5 ATS at home under coach Bill Belichick. Belichick is 15-19-2 ATS coming off a bye week. Since 2003, the Patriots are 134-96 ATS in QB Tom Brady's starts. The Dolphins are 26-27 ATS in QB Ryan Tannehill's starts.