Chiefs can earn No. 2 seed in AFC with win and Patriots loss

Chargers (5-10) at Chiefs (11-4)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Matchup rating: 63.8 | Spread: KC -9 (45.5)

What to watch for: The Chiefs have 20 interceptions against Philip Rivers in their past 11 matchups dating to 2014, including four in this year's game in November. With the Chiefs playing well defensively, there's no reason to believe Rivers can flourish against them this time. -- Adam Teicher

Bold prediction: Melvin Gordon will rush for more than 100 yards. The Chiefs are giving up 130 rushing yards per game this season, and six different players have posted 100-yard games against K.C.'s defense. -- Eric D. Williams

Stat to know: The Chiefs are giving up only 9.6 points per game over their current five-game win streak, which is the best mark in the league in that span (since Week 11). From Week 1 to Week 10, the Chiefs were giving up a 19th-ranked 23.9 points per game.

What's at stake: Kansas City can clinch the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with a win and a Patriots loss. It'll be the No. 3 seed with a win and a Patriots win, or a loss and a Texans loss. They'll fall to the No. 4 spot with a loss and a Texans win. Meanwhile, FPI is projecting the Chargers to pick No. 7 overall in the 2020 draft.

Betting nugget: In the past six seasons, Kansas City is 10-1 outright and 8-3 against the spread (ATS) against the Chargers. Kansas City is also 18-4 ATS in its past 22 division games. Read more.

Williams' pick: Chiefs 28, Chargers 20

Teicher's pick: Chiefs 27, Chargers 13

FPI prediction: KC, 85.1% (by an average of 13.8 points)