Expansion draft and backlog of backstops could create chaos in trade market this offseason

ByPierre LeBrun via ESPN logo
Friday, March 3, 2017

The trade deadline has come and gone, but the real fireworks are set to go off after the season.

There's potential for total chaos from mid-June through July 1 as teams navigate the expansion draft and deal with another flat salary cap and the moves that itself forces.

Here's a look at some of the most intriguing potential trades that await after the season:

An Avalanche of deals

It's no real surprise that neither Matt Duchene nor Gabriel Landeskog moved before the deadline. Colorado AvalancheGM Joe Sakic "will get more teams involved after the season,'' an Eastern Conference team executive said on Thursday.

That's probably true. On the other hand, other top players who haven't even been identified yet might suddenly be put up for trade then too. Colorado had the market really to itself over the past two months, as far as offering up signed, bona fide offensive stars. As we've seen over the past few years, as guys such asTaylor Hall and Tyler Seguinwere traded during the summer, big names can pop up after the season.

I still think Sakic made the right call, holding off and waiting for the offseason, when more teams are sure to join the bidding. I'm just pointing out that there might be competition from other teams looking to sell big names too.

Ducks' blue line

Anaheim DucksGM Bob Murray is like the kid in the schoolyard with all the toys but won't share. He's going to have to after the season. The expansion draft won't allow him to keep all of his coveted blueliners. A few things are in play here. First, the Ducks need to convince veteran Kevin Bieksa to waive his no-move clause for purposes of expansion-draft exposure. My guess is that won't be a problem, but we'll see.

Second, the Ducks need to know if they've got a shot at signing defensemanCam Fowler to a contract extension. He has one year left on his current deal after this season, and there's no way the Ducks would let him walk into his final year. He'll either be signed or traded, and Anaheim would certainly like to keep him long-term.

Third, the Ducks must decide what format to go with in terms of their protection list for the expansion draft. You might think they'd choose to protect four defensemen (Fowler, Sami Vatanen, Hampus Lindholm, Josh Manson), but that would mean they could protect only four forwards, which would force them to expose winger Jakob Silfverberg.I don't think Anaheim wants to leave Silfverberg unprotected.

So I wonder if the Ducks might go the 7-3-1 route (protect seven forwards, three defensemen and a goalie) and trade one of their D-men during the offseason. Or perhaps they'll do a side deal with the Vegas Golden Knights to agree not to draft a certain Ducks player. Don't forget, Anaheim also has young defensemen Brandon Montour and Shea Theodore, who are beyond ripe and ready for regular NHL duty -- and, luckily for the Ducks, exempt from the expansion draftbecause they are second-year players on entry-level contracts.

The point being, the Ducks can trade one of their top six defensemen this summer and not blink an eye. And when they're ready to do so, they'll have the likes of the Tampa Bay Lightning, Winnipeg Jets, Toronto Maple Leafs, Buffalo Sabres, Calgary Flamesand a few other clubs knocking at their door.

Tampa's D-man search

The Lightning will make it a high priority this offseason to try to trade for a top-four defenseman. It will cost them, in all likelihood, one of their top six forwards. In the meantime, three of those top six forwards --Jonathan Drouin, Tyler Johnson and Ondrej Palat-- need new contracts this summer too.

There are teams that hope to entice the Lightning into making a Drouin trade -- and listen, anything is possible -- but I think Tampa Bay would rather keep him and trade somebody else.

Whatever shakes out, the Lightning will be a team to watch around the NHL draft as trade talks heat up and they try to find their top-four defenseman.

The goalie carousel

This is shaping up to be the summer of goalie musical chairs.Marc-Andre Fleuryand Jaroslav Halak will await trades. One of Detroit's goalies,Jimmy HowardorPetr Mrazek, might get dealt. Does Colorado want to try to move Semyon Varlamov and the two years left on his deal at $5.9 million per? Meanwhile, Ben Bishop, Brian Elliott, Ryan Miller, Scott Darling, Steve Mason, Ondrej Pavelec, Jonathan Bernier, Chad Johnson, Darcy Kuemper, Anders Nilsson, Keith Kinkaid, Peter Budaj and Mike Condon are all pending unrestricted free agents.

Darling is a guy whom some teams might view as ready to be a No. 1. TheCalgary Flames, Winnipeg Jets, Dallas Stars and Philadelphia Flyersare among the teams that need to figure out their goaltending. Plus, of course, there's the newcomer, Vegas, which will select three goalies in the expansion draft. Antti Raanta, Philipp Grubauer and Michal Neuvirth are likely going to be exposed, and one or two of them might interest Vegas.

The bottom line? You're looking at a dozen goalies or more changing teams. It's going to be a busy June.